The future impact of climate and land-use changes on Anatolian ground squirrels under different scenarios

Climate and land-use changes are among the most important drivers of biodiversity loss and, moreover, their impacts on expected to increase further in 21st century. In this study, future impact climate Anatolian ground squirrels (Spermophilus xanthoprymnus) was assessed. Accordingly, a hierarchical approach with two steps used. First, ecological niche modelling used assess change areas accessible through dispersal (i.e. change). Second, based habitat preferences squirrels, data were suitable bioclimatic for under present conditions combined both changes). Also, priority conservation identified in-situ refugia. This study represents first attempt combine species Anatolia, one vulnerable regions loss, because it is region where three hotspots meet, interact. Habitat suitability habitats across areas) projected decline by 19–69% (depending scenario), mainly due (47–77%, depending scenario) at lower elevations western part central Anatolia eastern suggesting that will contract range future, change. Thus, refugia southeastern parts these as squirrels.